My policy in the past has been to leave the projections untouched — they are objective evaluations of players, and I have wanted to avoid adding my own subjective thoughts. The Price Guide lets anyone tweak the results to their own liking, so I’ve left the subjective changes up to the users.
However, there are a few cases where there is valuable information about a player’s particular situation that the projections are unaware of. Typically, this involves retirements, injuries, and closer precedence. With those things in mind, I’ve made the following adjustments to the composite projections:
Removed
Jeff Kent
Mike Mussina
Greg Maddux
Reduced Playing Time
Ben Sheets 50%
Shaun Marcum 50%
Dustin McGowan 50%
Curt Schilling 50%
Matt Wieters 25%
Alex Rodriguez 10%
Added as SP (only affects positional adjustment)
Kelvim Escobar
Kenshin Kawakami
Koji Uehara
Changed Save Totals
Jonathan Broxton +10
Heath Bell +10
J.J. Putz -15
Takashi Saito -15
There are a couple of other injury situations that could also affect playing time (Chase Utley, Ervin Santana, etc.). I’ve held off on modifying their projections without a clear idea as to how much time they will miss. I’ve also avoided making any predictions for the trickier save situations (Rangers, Mariners, Cubs, etc.).
My intent was to make conservative adjustments on the most obvious players. Are there any further changes you think should be made? Are there any on the above list you disagree with?