SubscribeI’m working on a new feature for the Price Guide — the ability to upload your own projections to use when generating player values.
I’m still getting the details worked out, but I’m looking for some people who would like to try it out. If you are interested in testing this out, leave a comment below or email me (mcopeland@lastplayerpicked.com), and I will send you the link to access it.
You may have noticed it already, but the 2010 Marcel projections are now available on the Price Guide. Many thanks to Tom Tango for allowing me to use them here.
I also had a request for a fantasy category of saves + holds, and that is now available. Keep in mind that no one projects holds, so what you are seeing is just the past year’s stats.
There’s another projection already here: The CAIRO projections courtesy of SG from the Replacement Level Yankee’s Weblog. I am admittedly no lover of the Yankees, but I certainly cannot complain about the quality of these projections. In this case, I’ll even refrain from making any snide remarks about the fact that CAIRO puts a conspicuously high $6 value on Yankee’s catcher prospect Jesus Montero. (CHONE, for comparison, has him at -$3.)
Of course, RLYW is a valuable site even for us non-Yankee fans. For example, each year SG shows that his projections are much more than a fantasy tool by simulating the season in advance. (See 2009′s blowout.) Taking the CAIRO, CHONE, Marcel, ZiPS, THT, and PECOTA projections, he simulates the upcoming season 1000 times with each to generate predicted standings for each division.
Anyway, two projections is enough for me to call it a quorum and to fire up the composite projections — currently just an 50/50 mix of CHONE and CAIRO. Still no saves, but it’s only January.
The first projections for 2010 are here!
Sean Smith of BaseballProjection.com has graciously allowed me to include his 2010 CHONE projections on the Price Guide.
CHONE is a computerized projection system that has year-after-year produced some of the most accurate predictions. In addition to CHONE, Sean is also recognized for the development of his historical Wins Above Replacement (WAR) data, statistical measurements for comparing players (1871-2009) across positions and eras. It’s not fantasy-related, but it is very impressive and a testament to some of the hard work Sean has done in baseball research.
As usual with projection systems, there are no saves projected in CHONE, but we’ll be discussing save candidates a bit later. (Of course, since the Price Guide lets you customize the projections to your own liking, it’s pretty easy to add your own save predictions.)
Please let me know if you notice any problems. Thanks again to Sean for making this happen.
It’s a new year, and that means a new fantasy baseball season is on the way!
Here at Last Player Picked, the wheels are beginning to turn again after a quiet and restful offseason. That means that the Price Guide will start being updated with 2010 projections very soon.
The regular schedule of posts will return next Monday and continue on through the start of the baseball season.
I’m looking forward to having some excellent discussions on draft strategy and player valuation.
A couple of quick updates regarding the Price Guide:
As you may have noticed with the posts trailing off as the season started this year, this blog will primarily be a seasonal feature. I’m hoping to focus on content and Price Guide updates from January through March, and then slow down as the draft season finishes up.
I appreciate all of the comments that everyone posted this season, and I’m looking forward to continuing that discussion next spring.
A couple of miscellaneous notes for this Tuesday:
If you have been using these scripts in the past, you may have noticed that the dollar values didn’t show up when you clicked on certain links. I think that has been corrected, now.
If you haven’t tried adding dollar values to your league homepage (and it works for Yahoo leagues as well), the scripts to do that are available on the Price Guide.
To date, I’ve been updating the previous day’s stats the following morning, whenever I happen to wake up. (Sorry, I can’t stay up for west coast games…) The stats update process has now been automated and scheduled for 3:00 AM EDT each morning.
Cecil’s AAA stats so far this year have not been impressive, but some of that is the product of the environment. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Cecil do well if he gets a long enough look in the majors.
You may have noticed the latest Greasemonkey script link on the Price Guide — a script for ESPN leagues.
Here’s what the Player Rater looks like in the FantasyPros911 Experts League, a standard AL-only league:
With both the top fantasy hitter and the most valuable fantasy pitcher on his team, it’s not surprising that Perry Van Hook has a solid grip on 1st place.
You can get dollar values customized for you own league with the Price Guide. From there, you should see links to add the prices to your league homepage (Yahoo, ESPN, CBS, or Allstar Stats).
As promised, I’ve got a new Greasemonkey script that will display customized, up-to-date dollar values on your CBS fantasy league homepage. The effect is very similar to the Yahoo screenshots I posted earlier.
Now, whenever you generate dollar values with the Price Guide, you should see links to add the dollar values to your league:
The links are Greasemonkey scripts that are generated with your specific league parameters, so there’s no longer any need to edit the scripts yourself. If you have Greasemonkey installed, all you have to do is click the link and the prices should start showing up.
This is all still a work in progress, so there could still be a few quirks. Please let me know if you have any problems with it.
A quick update: You can now add dollar values from the composite projections to your league homepage.
If your league is hosted by Allstar Stats, there is now a Greasemonkey script for you — available here.
I’ve matched all of the player IDs from CBS with the IDs I have on the stats and projections, so there should be a CBS script available pretty soon. ESPN is next after that.