Comments on: LIMA 2010: Not Necessarily Low Investments http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/lima-2010-not-necessarily-low-investments/ Fantasy Baseball Dollar Values, Rankings, and Discussion Fri, 27 Aug 2010 21:23:46 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.1 By: Mays http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/lima-2010-not-necessarily-low-investments/#comment-6471 Mays Mon, 15 Feb 2010 22:53:11 +0000 http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/?p=1060#comment-6471 @Molson: You are right; many players will have a worse projected ERA than they actually put up the year before, and they will still be worth the same. Their xERA can improve even if their ERA declines, because the projected pitchers have worse ERAs on the whole. In this case, however, I was just referencing ERA as a shorthand way of indicating the projected decline. In xERA terms, Wandy's ERA was 10 ER above average in 2009, and is only projected as 1 ER better than average in 2010. That's true of all of these pitchers, and they are all projected to lose $5-7 from their 2009 value. @Molson: You are right; many players will have a worse projected ERA than they actually put up the year before, and they will still be worth the same. Their xERA can improve even if their ERA declines, because the projected pitchers have worse ERAs on the whole.

In this case, however, I was just referencing ERA as a shorthand way of indicating the projected decline. In xERA terms, Wandy’s ERA was 10 ER above average in 2009, and is only projected as 1 ER better than average in 2010. That’s true of all of these pitchers, and they are all projected to lose $5-7 from their 2009 value.

]]> By: Molson http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/lima-2010-not-necessarily-low-investments/#comment-6470 Molson Mon, 15 Feb 2010 20:14:55 +0000 http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/?p=1060#comment-6470 When looking at ERA projections, you can't really look at the raw numbers, you have to look at what the average projected ERA is for the league. How do their projected xERA numbers compare to their xERA numbers from last year? When looking at ERA projections, you can’t really look at the raw numbers, you have to look at what the average projected ERA is for the league. How do their projected xERA numbers compare to their xERA numbers from last year?

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