SubscribeThere’s another projection already here: The CAIRO projections courtesy of SG from the Replacement Level Yankee’s Weblog. I am admittedly no lover of the Yankees, but I certainly cannot complain about the quality of these projections. In this case, I’ll even refrain from making any snide remarks about the fact that CAIRO puts a conspicuously high $6 value on Yankee’s catcher prospect Jesus Montero. (CHONE, for comparison, has him at -$3.)
Of course, RLYW is a valuable site even for us non-Yankee fans. For example, each year SG shows that his projections are much more than a fantasy tool by simulating the season in advance. (See 2009’s blowout.) Taking the CAIRO, CHONE, Marcel, ZiPS, THT, and PECOTA projections, he simulates the upcoming season 1000 times with each to generate predicted standings for each division.
Anyway, two projections is enough for me to call it a quorum and to fire up the composite projections — currently just an 50/50 mix of CHONE and CAIRO. Still no saves, but it’s only January.
Related posts:
Hey Mays,
I was thinking (never a good thing)… but would the possibility to edit players’ positions be a useful enough feature to make it worth incorporating?
For instance, if you play in a league with unique position requirements.
Or, more to the point in my case. If I wanted to test some theories about changing player values, I might–for example–change Miguel Tejada’s position to 3B, or Gordon Beckham’s to 2B, etc. Would such a feature be possible? Or would it break the internet?
I think I noticed a mistake:
Because (I think), the CAIRO spreadsheet has Seattle second-baseman Jose Lopez listed as a Catcher, your Price Guide turns him into the Houston Astro (minor league?) Catcher by the same name.
That is really screwing up CAIRO’s Catcher values, as you can imagine, and I think its 2B and MI values as well.
@LittlePanda:
Yeah, it looks like something is messed up there.
CAIRO projects a Jose Lopez who is a Seattle catcher — some sort of amalgamation of the Seattle 2B and the Houston C. The player ID is for the Houston catcher.
However, it’s an odd projection if it is really intended to be either one of those players: It’s probably too good of a projection to be the Houston catcher. And 13 SB would be more than twice as many as the Seattle secondbaseman has ever had in a season.
OK, I’ve switched CAIRO (and thus the composite) projection to refer to the SEA Jose Lopez. I still think something is messed up, but this looks like an improvement.
The Marcel projections are out now too. Just sayin… ;)