Comments on: The Forecasters Challenge 2009 http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/the-forecasters-challenge-2009/ Fantasy Baseball Dollar Values, Rankings, and Discussion Thu, 09 Feb 2012 00:33:28 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Confused http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/the-forecasters-challenge-2009/#comment-200 Confused Sat, 21 Feb 2009 03:08:59 +0000 http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/?p=449#comment-200 http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=564 ( done by Pecota including 8 Projections, Pecota and Zips run away with it and win badly) http://www.fantasybaseballcafe.com/2007/tips_assessingprojections.php ( for 05/06 zips does poorly in hitting but excels in pitching) http://lanaheimangelfan.blogspot.com/2006/12/pecota.html (another year, zips wins pitching) It changes year from year I just personally find zips to be more consistent, it's especially good for pitchers, their hitters though you need to throw some projections out like for rookies. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=564
( done by Pecota including 8 Projections, Pecota and Zips run away with it and win badly)
http://www.fantasybaseballcafe.com/2007/tips_assessingprojections.php
( for 05/06 zips does poorly in hitting but excels in pitching)
http://lanaheimangelfan.blogspot.com/2006/12/pecota.html
(another year, zips wins pitching)

It changes year from year I just personally find zips to be more consistent, it’s especially good for pitchers, their hitters though you need to throw some projections out like for rookies.

]]> By: Mays http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/the-forecasters-challenge-2009/#comment-184 Mays Fri, 20 Feb 2009 03:58:31 +0000 http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/?p=449#comment-184 I haven't asked Dan about it, but I'd love to include ZiPS if he's OK with it. And I haven't seen anything that puts ZiPS as clearly better than CHONE... The studies I'm aware of had everyone really close, but with CHONE out a little in front for 2008: http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/evaluating_the_2008_forecasting_systems/ I guess we'll learn more after 2009. :-) I haven’t asked Dan about it, but I’d love to include ZiPS if he’s OK with it.

And I haven’t seen anything that puts ZiPS as clearly better than CHONE… The studies I’m aware of had everyone really close, but with CHONE out a little in front for 2008:

http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/evaluating_the_2008_forecasting_systems/

I guess we’ll learn more after 2009. :-)

]]> By: Confused http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/the-forecasters-challenge-2009/#comment-183 Confused Fri, 20 Feb 2009 03:37:29 +0000 http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/?p=449#comment-183 Any chance you add zips when they come out. Zips I find, as well as other studies done, is better than chone. Any chance you add zips when they come out. Zips I find, as well as other studies done, is better than chone.

]]> By: Nick http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/the-forecasters-challenge-2009/#comment-145 Nick Mon, 16 Feb 2009 04:21:50 +0000 http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/?p=449#comment-145 Mays, would you have any interest in running a retroactive forecaster challenge for 2008 or 2007 using the price guide? I've got the projections if you want them... Mays, would you have any interest in running a retroactive forecaster challenge for 2008 or 2007 using the price guide? I’ve got the projections if you want them…

]]> By: Mike Podhorzer http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/the-forecasters-challenge-2009/#comment-136 Mike Podhorzer Thu, 12 Feb 2009 16:38:23 +0000 http://www.lastplayerpicked.com/?p=449#comment-136 I had read about this a couple of months ago but wasn't interested because originally it appeared that valuation methodology would also play a role, as opposed to strictly the projections. The rules were changed so that it's much easier to rank players, so I let Tom know I wanted to participate, but unfortunately it was too late. I'm apparently an alternate now, so I'm crossing my fingers that my projections published at FantasyPros911 will be included. I had read about this a couple of months ago but wasn’t interested because originally it appeared that valuation methodology would also play a role, as opposed to strictly the projections. The rules were changed so that it’s much easier to rank players, so I let Tom know I wanted to participate, but unfortunately it was too late. I’m apparently an alternate now, so I’m crossing my fingers that my projections published at FantasyPros911 will be included.

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